Winthrop, AR
Winthrop wildfire risk explained
Out of every US place USFS scores, Winthrop lands at the 73rd percentile for wildfire risk to structures — well above the national norm for wildfire risk — a figure built from its 152 buildings, not the land around them. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Winthrop at the 75th national percentile — 2 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Where Winthrop's buildings actually sit
USFS classifies 71.7% of Winthrop's buildings as Direct exposure, higher than its 28.3% Indirect share and far above its 0% Minimal share — a profile where 109 structures sit close enough to vegetation that lot clearing matters most.
Winthrop against the rest of the country
There's little gap between Winthrop's 73rd national percentile and its 61st percentile inside Arkansas, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Winthrop ranks 8,405 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 26,788 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arkansas alone, it ranks 241 of 614 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arkansas on its state page.
Winthrop and the insurance market
Winthrop's high rating (73rd percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Winthrop's 71.7% Direct-exposure share means lot clearing around the structure typically outweighs any single material upgrade here. The home-hardening guide ranks the options for a place shaped like this.
Where Winthrop's figures come from
Winthrop's 73rd-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Winthrop's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.