Winchester, AR
How exposed is Winchester to wildfire?
Winchester sits at the 22nd percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 114 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Winchester at the 21st national percentile — 1 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Where Winchester's buildings actually sit
63.2% of Winchester's 114 buildings sit in USFS's Minimal exposure zone, with only 36.8% rated Direct — risk here comes from regional burn probability more than proximity to burnable vegetation at the structure itself.
Where Winchester ranks
Winchester scores 22nd nationally and 10th within Arkansas — close enough that its state context doesn't change the picture the national number already gives. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Winchester ranks 24,729 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 28,439 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arkansas alone, it ranks 551 of 614 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arkansas on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Winchester
Winchester's moderate rating (22nd percentile nationally) sits outside the range where wildfire risk alone reshapes an insurance market — still, a homeowner here loses nothing by comparing rates.
What would actually reduce this score
Winchester's 63.2% Minimal-exposure share means structure-level hardening matters less here than it would elsewhere — still worth the low-cost basics, per the home-hardening guide.
Where Winchester's figures come from
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 114 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Winchester. The exposure-zones guide covers what Winchester's dominant minimal exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.