Willow City, ND
Willow City, ND's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Willow City sits at the 78th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — well above the national norm for wildfire risk — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 279 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Willow City's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 76th percentile nationally.
Where Willow City's buildings actually sit
Indirect exposure is dominant in Willow City (59.9% of 279 buildings): far enough from burnable vegetation to avoid flame contact, close enough for wind-blown embers. Only 40.1% sit in the Direct zone.
How Willow City compares
Willow City's 94th-percentile standing inside North Dakota outpaces its 78th national percentile — this is a hotter spot than most of its own state, even though the state as a whole runs cooler nationally. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Willow City ranks 6,844 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 22,230 by building count (1 is largest). Within North Dakota alone, it ranks 25 of 402 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for North Dakota on its state page.
Willow City and the insurance market
At the 78th percentile nationally, Willow City carries the high rating that has pushed some carriers to limit new business in similarly-scored places elsewhere in the country. Worth comparing quotes rather than assuming last year's renewal terms still apply.
What would actually reduce this score
Because 59.9% of Willow City's buildings sit in the Indirect zone, sealing the ember pathway (vents, roofing, gutters) is the intervention this page's data actually supports — see the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Every one of the two percentiles behind Willow City's 6,844-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Willow City, see the exposure-zones guide.