Willow, AK
Willow, AK's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Willow's 1,917 buildings earn a 93rd-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Willow at the 91st percentile, close to its 93rd-percentile risk score.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
USFS classifies 97.8% of Willow's buildings as Direct exposure, higher than its 1.4% Indirect share and far above its 0.8% Minimal share — a profile where 1,874 structures sit close enough to vegetation that lot clearing matters most.
Where Willow ranks
Willow's risk sits at a similar level relative to Alaska (80th percentile statewide) as it does nationally (93rd) — this place isn't unusual for its own state either way. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Willow ranks 2,319 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 7,716 by building count (1 is largest). Within Alaska alone, it ranks 66 of 322 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Alaska on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Willow
Willow's very high rating (93rd percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Because Direct exposure dominates in Willow (97.8%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
Where Willow's figures come from
Every one of the two percentiles behind Willow's 2,319-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Willow's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.