Willard, UT
Willard, UT's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Willard's 1,225 buildings earn a 90th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Willard at the 86th percentile, close to its 90th-percentile risk score.
Willard's building exposure, zone by zone
USFS puts 58.1% of Willard's 1,225 buildings in the Indirect exposure zone, versus 41.8% Direct and 0.1% Minimal — a place where the fire doesn't need to reach the structure directly for embers to.
How Willard compares
Willard ranks lower within Utah (56th percentile statewide) than its 90th national percentile suggests alone — a calmer spot in a state where wildfire risk generally runs high. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Willard ranks 3,103 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 10,499 by building count (1 is largest). Within Utah alone, it ranks 145 of 326 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Utah on its state page.
Willard and the insurance market
At the 90th percentile nationally, Willard carries the very high rating that has pushed some carriers to limit new business in similarly-scored places elsewhere in the country. Worth comparing quotes rather than assuming last year's renewal terms still apply.
What would actually reduce this score
Because 58.1% of Willard's buildings sit in the Indirect zone, sealing the ember pathway (vents, roofing, gutters) is the intervention this page's data actually supports — see the home-hardening guide.
Where Willard's figures come from
Every one of the two percentiles behind Willard's 3,103-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Willard's dominant indirect exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.