Wheatley Heights, NY
Wheatley Heights, NY's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Wheatley Heights sits at the 28th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 1,411 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Wheatley Heights's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 28th percentile nationally.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
1,411 buildings are counted in Wheatley Heights, and 82.6% of them are Indirect exposure — ember-driven risk rather than the 13.3% in Direct exposure or the 4.1% rated Minimal.
Wheatley Heights against the rest of the country
Compare Wheatley Heights's two percentiles: 59th within New York, only 28th nationally — a gap of 31 points that marks it as unusually exposed for its own state. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Wheatley Heights ranks 22,640 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 9,582 by building count (1 is largest). Within New York alone, it ranks 533 of 1,289 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for New York on its state page.
Wheatley Heights and the insurance market
Wheatley Heights's moderate wildfire rating (28th percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Because 82.6% of Wheatley Heights's buildings sit in the Indirect zone, sealing the ember pathway (vents, roofing, gutters) is the intervention this page's data actually supports — see the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Wheatley Heights's 28th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Wheatley Heights, see the exposure-zones guide.