Warrenton, VA
How exposed is Warrenton to wildfire?
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Warrenton at the 30th national percentile for risk to structures, close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — a score built from 3,222 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Warrenton's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 30th percentile nationally.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
3,222 buildings are counted in Warrenton, and 58% of them are Indirect exposure — ember-driven risk rather than the 42.1% in Direct exposure or the 0% rated Minimal.
How Warrenton compares
There's little gap between Warrenton's 30th national percentile and its 20th percentile inside Virginia, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Warrenton ranks 22,015 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 5,142 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 548 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
Warrenton's moderate wildfire rating (30th percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Warrenton's 58% Indirect-exposure share points at embers, not flame contact, as the main pathway — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing rank ahead of defensible space here. Detail in the home-hardening guide.
Where Warrenton's figures come from
Every one of the two percentiles behind Warrenton's 22,015-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Warrenton's dominant indirect exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.