Warm Springs, AR
Warm Springs, AR's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Warm Springs sits at the 71st percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — well above the national norm for wildfire risk — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 97 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Warm Springs at the 74th national percentile — 3 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Of Warm Springs's 97 counted buildings, 100% carry Direct exposure and only 0% carry Minimal — a lopsided split that puts defensible-space clearing ahead of vents or roofing as the intervention worth doing first.
How Warm Springs compares
Warm Springs scores 71st nationally and 58th within Arkansas — close enough that its state context doesn't change the picture the national number already gives. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Warm Springs ranks 9,004 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 29,164 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arkansas alone, it ranks 260 of 614 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arkansas on its state page.
Warm Springs and the insurance market
At the 71st percentile nationally, Warm Springs carries the high rating that has pushed some carriers to limit new business in similarly-scored places elsewhere in the country. Worth comparing quotes rather than assuming last year's renewal terms still apply.
What would actually reduce this score
Because Direct exposure dominates in Warm Springs (100%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 97 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Warm Springs. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Warm Springs, see the exposure-zones guide.