Uvalde, TX
Uvalde, TX's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS scores Uvalde at the 64th national percentile for wildfire risk to structures (well above the national norm for wildfire risk), a figure built from 7,100 real buildings rather than raw vegetation cover. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Uvalde at the 62nd national percentile — 2 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Where Uvalde's buildings actually sit
57.2% of Uvalde's 7,100 buildings fall in USFS's Indirect exposure zone — ember cast rather than direct flame — against 13.9% Direct and 28.9% Minimal. Vent screens and roofing material matter more here than lot clearing alone. At 7,100 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
Where Uvalde ranks
Inside Texas, Uvalde sits at just the 20th percentile even though it scores 64th nationally — the state's overall wildfire exposure is high enough to make this a relatively quiet corner of it. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Uvalde ranks 11,361 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 2,415 by building count (1 is largest). Within Texas alone, it ranks 1,448 of 1,795 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Texas on its state page.
Uvalde and the insurance market
Uvalde's high rating (64th percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
What would actually reduce this score
Uvalde's 57.2% Indirect-exposure share points at embers, not flame contact, as the main pathway — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing rank ahead of defensible space here. Detail in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 7,100 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Uvalde. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Uvalde, see the exposure-zones guide.