WildfireRiskFinder

Upperville, VA

Upperville, VA's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers

Elevated
48thpercentile nationally

Upperville sits at the 48th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — modestly above the national average for wildfire risk — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 214 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)

USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Upperville at the 49th percentile, close to its 48th-percentile risk score.

What "at risk" means for the buildings here

214Total buildings
91.6%Direct exposure
8.4%Indirect exposure
0%Minimal exposure

214 buildings are counted in Upperville, and 91.6% of them sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone — flame contact, not just ember cast, is the live possibility for most of them, against 0% rated Minimal.

Where Upperville ranks

Upperville scores 48th nationally and 50th within Virginia — close enough that its state context doesn't change the picture the national number already gives. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Upperville ranks 16,312 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 24,351 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 342 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.

Shopping for coverage in Upperville

At the 48th national percentile, Upperville rates elevated for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.

What would actually reduce this score

With 91.6% of Upperville in Direct exposure, defensible-space clearing and ember-resistant construction (vents, Class-A roofing) address the exposure this page's own numbers describe, not a generic checklist. See the home-hardening guide.

More on how this number was built

Upperville's 48th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Upperville, see the exposure-zones guide.