Tumacacori-Carmen, AZ
How exposed is Tumacacori-Carmen to wildfire?
USFS scores Tumacacori-Carmen at the 98th national percentile for wildfire risk to structures (in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally), a figure built from 274 real buildings rather than raw vegetation cover. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Tumacacori-Carmen at the 99th national percentile — 1 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Where Tumacacori-Carmen's buildings actually sit
USFS classifies 93.4% of Tumacacori-Carmen's buildings as Direct exposure, higher than its 6.6% Indirect share and far above its 0% Minimal share — a profile where 256 structures sit close enough to vegetation that lot clearing matters most.
Tumacacori-Carmen against the rest of the country
Tumacacori-Carmen scores 98th nationally and 88th within Arizona — close enough that its state context doesn't change the picture the national number already gives. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Tumacacori-Carmen ranks 652 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 22,383 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 57 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Tumacacori-Carmen
Tumacacori-Carmen's very high rating (98th percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
What would actually reduce this score
Because Direct exposure dominates in Tumacacori-Carmen (93.4%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 274 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Tumacacori-Carmen. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Tumacacori-Carmen, see the exposure-zones guide.