Toksook Bay, AK
Toksook Bay, AK's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Toksook Bay's 118 buildings earn a 79th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — well above the national norm for wildfire risk. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Toksook Bay at the 79th percentile, close to its 79th-percentile risk score.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
118 buildings are counted in Toksook Bay, and 90.7% of them are Indirect exposure — ember-driven risk rather than the 9.3% in Direct exposure or the 0% rated Minimal.
How Toksook Bay compares
Toksook Bay's 79th national percentile looks worse in isolation than its 62nd ranking inside Alaska does — this place is on the milder end for its own state, by 17 points. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Toksook Bay ranks 6,510 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 28,228 by building count (1 is largest). Within Alaska alone, it ranks 122 of 322 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Alaska on its state page.
Toksook Bay and the insurance market
Toksook Bay's 79th-percentile, high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
Hardening a home in Toksook Bay
Toksook Bay's 90.7% Indirect-exposure share points at embers, not flame contact, as the main pathway — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing rank ahead of defensible space here. Detail in the home-hardening guide.
Where Toksook Bay's figures come from
Toksook Bay's 79th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Toksook Bay's dominant indirect exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.