Tinton Falls, NJ
How exposed is Tinton Falls to wildfire?
Tinton Falls's 4,917 buildings earn a 77th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — well above the national norm for wildfire risk. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Tinton Falls's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 75th percentile nationally.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Direct exposure dominates in Tinton Falls: 39.6% of its 4,917 buildings, versus 37.8% Indirect and 22.6% Minimal. Clearing space around a structure changes the outcome here more than any single building-material swap.
Tinton Falls against the rest of the country
There's little gap between Tinton Falls's 77th national percentile and its 84th percentile inside New Jersey, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Tinton Falls ranks 7,129 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 3,480 by building count (1 is largest). Within New Jersey alone, it ranks 116 of 700 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for New Jersey on its state page.
Tinton Falls and the insurance market
Tinton Falls's high rating (77th percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
What would actually reduce this score
With 39.6% of Tinton Falls in Direct exposure, defensible-space clearing and ember-resistant construction (vents, Class-A roofing) address the exposure this page's own numbers describe, not a generic checklist. See the home-hardening guide.
Where Tinton Falls's figures come from
Tinton Falls's 77th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Tinton Falls's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.