Tillar, AR
Tillar, AR's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Tillar at the 25th national percentile for risk to structures, close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — a score built from 196 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Tillar's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 24th percentile nationally.
Tillar's building exposure, zone by zone
USFS classifies 51.5% of Tillar's buildings as Minimal exposure, the largest of the three zones here by a wide margin over 48.5% Direct and 0% Indirect — a landscape-level risk rather than a building-by-building one.
Tillar against the rest of the country
Tillar's risk sits at a similar level relative to Arkansas (11th percentile statewide) as it does nationally (25th) — this place isn't unusual for its own state either way. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Tillar ranks 23,784 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 24,987 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arkansas alone, it ranks 544 of 614 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arkansas on its state page.
Tillar and the insurance market
At the 25th national percentile, Tillar rates moderate for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
What would actually reduce this score
With 51.5% of buildings rated Minimal exposure, Tillar gets less benefit from structure hardening than a Direct- or Indirect-dominant place would — the home-hardening guide explains why the zone matters.
Where Tillar's figures come from
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 196 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Tillar. The exposure-zones guide covers what Tillar's dominant minimal exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.