Success, AR
Success wildfire risk explained
USFS scores Success at the 28th national percentile for wildfire risk to structures (close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range), a figure built from 126 real buildings rather than raw vegetation cover. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Success at the 29th national percentile — 1 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Where Success's buildings actually sit
Most of Success's buildings (57.9%) sit in the Indirect zone, where wind-blown embers rather than flame front are the mechanism USFS is scoring — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing are the interventions this pattern favors, more than defensible space alone.
Success against the rest of the country
Success's risk sits at a similar level relative to Arkansas (13th percentile statewide) as it does nationally (28th) — this place isn't unusual for its own state either way. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Success ranks 22,808 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 27,879 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arkansas alone, it ranks 534 of 614 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arkansas on its state page.
Success and the insurance market
Success's moderate wildfire rating (28th percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Success's 57.9% Indirect-exposure share points at embers, not flame contact, as the main pathway — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing rank ahead of defensible space here. Detail in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 126 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Success. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Success, see the exposure-zones guide.