Springfield, VA
Springfield wildfire risk explained
Springfield's 6,767 buildings earn a 20th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — among the lower wildfire-risk places nationally. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Springfield at the 21st national percentile — 1 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
USFS classifies 76.6% of Springfield's buildings as Minimal exposure, the largest of the three zones here by a wide margin over 23.4% Direct and 0% Indirect — a landscape-level risk rather than a building-by-building one. At 6,767 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
Springfield against the rest of the country
There's little gap between Springfield's 20th national percentile and its 11th percentile inside Virginia, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Springfield ranks 25,287 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 2,555 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 609 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
At the 20th national percentile, Springfield rates low for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
What would actually reduce this score
Springfield's 76.6% Minimal-exposure share means structure-level hardening matters less here than it would elsewhere — still worth the low-cost basics, per the home-hardening guide.
Where Springfield's figures come from
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 6,767 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Springfield. The exposure-zones guide covers what Springfield's dominant minimal exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.