South Willard, UT
South Willard, UT's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
South Willard's 825 buildings earn a 87th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, South Willard's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 83rd percentile nationally.
Where South Willard's buildings actually sit
Most of South Willard's buildings (55.2%) sit in the Indirect zone, where wind-blown embers rather than flame front are the mechanism USFS is scoring — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing are the interventions this pattern favors, more than defensible space alone.
Where South Willard ranks
South Willard ranks lower within Utah (49th percentile statewide) than its 87th national percentile suggests alone — a calmer spot in a state where wildfire risk generally runs high. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, South Willard ranks 3,986 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 13,403 by building count (1 is largest). Within Utah alone, it ranks 168 of 326 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Utah on its state page.
South Willard and the insurance market
South Willard's 87th-percentile, very high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
With ember exposure the dominant pattern in South Willard (55.2% Indirect), vent screens and roofing material tend to matter more than lot clearing alone. The home-hardening guide covers both.
Where South Willard's figures come from
South Willard's 87th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what South Willard's dominant indirect exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.