Sibley, ND
Sibley, ND's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Sibley's 74 buildings earn a 68th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — well above the national norm for wildfire risk. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Sibley's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 61st percentile nationally.
Where Sibley's buildings actually sit
Most of Sibley's buildings (86.5%) sit in the Indirect zone, where wind-blown embers rather than flame front are the mechanism USFS is scoring — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing are the interventions this pattern favors, more than defensible space alone.
How Sibley compares
Within North Dakota, Sibley ranks higher (85th percentile) than it does nationally (68th) — one of the more fire-exposed places in a state that, overall, scores lower than that. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Sibley ranks 10,093 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 30,145 by building count (1 is largest). Within North Dakota alone, it ranks 60 of 402 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for North Dakota on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
Sibley's 68th-percentile, high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Because 86.5% of Sibley's buildings sit in the Indirect zone, sealing the ember pathway (vents, roofing, gutters) is the intervention this page's data actually supports — see the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Every one of the two percentiles behind Sibley's 10,093-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Sibley, see the exposure-zones guide.