Sibley, MO
Sibley wildfire risk explained
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Sibley at the 53rd national percentile for risk to structures, modestly above the national average for wildfire risk — a score built from 259 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Sibley at the 53rd percentile, close to its 53rd-percentile risk score.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
USFS classifies 59.9% of Sibley's buildings as Direct exposure, higher than its 40.2% Indirect share and far above its 0% Minimal share — a profile where 155 structures sit close enough to vegetation that lot clearing matters most.
Sibley against the rest of the country
Sibley scores 53rd nationally and 38th within Missouri — close enough that its state context doesn't change the picture the national number already gives. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Sibley ranks 14,975 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 22,857 by building count (1 is largest). Within Missouri alone, it ranks 661 of 1,062 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Missouri on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
At the 53rd national percentile, Sibley rates elevated for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Because Direct exposure dominates in Sibley (59.9%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 259 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Sibley. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Sibley, see the exposure-zones guide.