Short Pump, VA
Short Pump, VA's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS scores Short Pump at the 25th national percentile for wildfire risk to structures (close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range), a figure built from 7,470 real buildings rather than raw vegetation cover. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Short Pump's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 25th percentile nationally.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Indirect exposure is dominant in Short Pump (48.5% of 7,470 buildings): far enough from burnable vegetation to avoid flame contact, close enough for wind-blown embers. Only 21.9% sit in the Direct zone. At 7,470 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
How Short Pump compares
Short Pump scores 25th nationally and 15th within Virginia — close enough that its state context doesn't change the picture the national number already gives. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Short Pump ranks 23,682 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 2,284 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 579 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Short Pump
Short Pump's moderate wildfire rating (25th percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
What would actually reduce this score
Because 48.5% of Short Pump's buildings sit in the Indirect zone, sealing the ember pathway (vents, roofing, gutters) is the intervention this page's data actually supports — see the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Short Pump's 25th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Short Pump, see the exposure-zones guide.