Shonto, AZ
Shonto wildfire risk explained
Shonto's 266 buildings earn a 32nd-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Shonto at the 24th percentile, close to its 32nd-percentile risk score.
Where Shonto's buildings actually sit
77.1% of Shonto's 266 buildings sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone, roughly 205 structures close enough to burnable vegetation for flame contact, not just embers — 22.9% fall in the Indirect, ember-only zone and 0% are Minimal.
Shonto against the rest of the country
Shonto ranks lower within Arizona (9th percentile statewide) than its 32nd national percentile suggests alone — a calmer spot in a state where wildfire risk generally runs high. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Shonto ranks 21,514 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 22,621 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 403 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Shonto
At the 32nd national percentile, Shonto rates moderate for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Shonto's 77.1% Direct-exposure share means lot clearing around the structure typically outweighs any single material upgrade here. The home-hardening guide ranks the options for a place shaped like this.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 266 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Shonto. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Shonto, see the exposure-zones guide.