Shelley, ID
How exposed is Shelley to wildfire?
Shelley's 1,660 buildings earn a 30th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Shelley at the 27th percentile, close to its 30th-percentile risk score.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
USFS classifies 80.5% of Shelley's buildings as Minimal exposure, the largest of the three zones here by a wide margin over 19.5% Direct and 0% Indirect — a landscape-level risk rather than a building-by-building one.
How Shelley compares
Shelley's 30th national percentile looks worse in isolation than its 7th ranking inside Idaho does — this place is on the milder end for its own state, by 23 points. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Shelley ranks 22,082 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 8,563 by building count (1 is largest). Within Idaho alone, it ranks 216 of 232 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Idaho on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
At the 30th national percentile, Shelley rates moderate for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
What would actually reduce this score
Shelley's 80.5% Minimal-exposure share means structure-level hardening matters less here than it would elsewhere — still worth the low-cost basics, per the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Shelley's 30th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what minimal exposure implies beyond Shelley, see the exposure-zones guide.