Second Mesa, AZ
Second Mesa, AZ's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Second Mesa's 381 buildings earn a 27th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Second Mesa's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 29th percentile nationally.
Where Second Mesa's buildings actually sit
Direct exposure dominates in Second Mesa: 72.7% of its 381 buildings, versus 27.3% Indirect and 0% Minimal. Clearing space around a structure changes the outcome here more than any single building-material swap.
How Second Mesa compares
Second Mesa ranks lower within Arizona (7th percentile statewide) than its 27th national percentile suggests alone — a calmer spot in a state where wildfire risk generally runs high. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Second Mesa ranks 22,870 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 19,613 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 412 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Second Mesa
At the 27th national percentile, Second Mesa rates moderate for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Second Mesa's 72.7% Direct-exposure share means lot clearing around the structure typically outweighs any single material upgrade here. The home-hardening guide ranks the options for a place shaped like this.
Where Second Mesa's figures come from
Second Mesa's 27th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Second Mesa's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.