Saugerties South, NY
How exposed is Saugerties South to wildfire?
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Saugerties South at the 34th national percentile for risk to structures, close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — a score built from 908 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Saugerties South at the 33rd percentile, close to its 34th-percentile risk score.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
908 buildings are counted in Saugerties South, and 65.5% of them are Indirect exposure — ember-driven risk rather than the 34.5% in Direct exposure or the 0% rated Minimal.
Saugerties South against the rest of the country
Compare Saugerties South's two percentiles: 73rd within New York, only 34th nationally — a gap of 39 points that marks it as unusually exposed for its own state. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Saugerties South ranks 20,803 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 12,655 by building count (1 is largest). Within New York alone, it ranks 344 of 1,289 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for New York on its state page.
Saugerties South and the insurance market
At the 34th national percentile, Saugerties South rates moderate for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
Hardening a home in Saugerties South
With ember exposure the dominant pattern in Saugerties South (65.5% Indirect), vent screens and roofing material tend to matter more than lot clearing alone. The home-hardening guide covers both.
More on how this number was built
Saugerties South's 34th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond Saugerties South, see the exposure-zones guide.