San Manuel, AZ
How exposed is San Manuel to wildfire?
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts San Manuel at the 94th national percentile for risk to structures, in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally — a score built from 1,832 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks San Manuel at the 95th national percentile — 1 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Where San Manuel's buildings actually sit
Most of San Manuel's buildings (88.5%) sit in the Indirect zone, where wind-blown embers rather than flame front are the mechanism USFS is scoring — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing are the interventions this pattern favors, more than defensible space alone.
How San Manuel compares
Inside Arizona, San Manuel sits at just the 73rd percentile even though it scores 94th nationally — the state's overall wildfire exposure is high enough to make this a relatively quiet corner of it. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, San Manuel ranks 1,845 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 7,973 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 121 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
San Manuel and the insurance market
San Manuel's very high rating (94th percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
What would actually reduce this score
Because 88.5% of San Manuel's buildings sit in the Indirect zone, sealing the ember pathway (vents, roofing, gutters) is the intervention this page's data actually supports — see the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 1,832 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for San Manuel. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond San Manuel, see the exposure-zones guide.