Round Valley, AZ
How exposed is Round Valley to wildfire?
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Round Valley at the 98th national percentile for risk to structures, in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally — a score built from 394 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Round Valley at the 97th percentile, close to its 98th-percentile risk score.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
96.5% of Round Valley's 394 buildings sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone, roughly 380 structures close enough to burnable vegetation for flame contact, not just embers — 3.6% fall in the Indirect, ember-only zone and 0% are Minimal.
How Round Valley compares
There's little gap between Round Valley's 98th national percentile and its 89th percentile inside Arizona, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Round Valley ranks 587 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 19,325 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 51 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Round Valley
Round Valley's 98th-percentile, very high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
What would actually reduce this score
Round Valley's 96.5% Direct-exposure share means lot clearing around the structure typically outweighs any single material upgrade here. The home-hardening guide ranks the options for a place shaped like this.
Where Round Valley's figures come from
Round Valley's 98th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Round Valley's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.