Roslyn Estates, NY
Roslyn Estates, NY's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Roslyn Estates sits at the 31st percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 469 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Roslyn Estates at the 32nd national percentile — 1 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Where Roslyn Estates's buildings actually sit
469 buildings are counted in Roslyn Estates, and 79.5% of them sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone — flame contact, not just ember cast, is the live possibility for most of them, against 20.5% rated Minimal.
Roslyn Estates against the rest of the country
Compare Roslyn Estates's two percentiles: 66th within New York, only 31st nationally — a gap of 35 points that marks it as unusually exposed for its own state. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Roslyn Estates ranks 21,843 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 17,898 by building count (1 is largest). Within New York alone, it ranks 444 of 1,289 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for New York on its state page.
Roslyn Estates and the insurance market
Roslyn Estates's moderate wildfire rating (31st percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
With 79.5% of Roslyn Estates in Direct exposure, defensible-space clearing and ember-resistant construction (vents, Class-A roofing) address the exposure this page's own numbers describe, not a generic checklist. See the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 469 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Roslyn Estates. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Roslyn Estates, see the exposure-zones guide.