WildfireRiskFinder

Rincon Valley, AZ

Rincon Valley wildfire risk explained

Very High
88thpercentile nationally

USFS scores Rincon Valley at the 88th national percentile for wildfire risk to structures (in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally), a figure built from 2,975 real buildings rather than raw vegetation cover. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)

USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Rincon Valley at the 87th percentile, close to its 88th-percentile risk score.

Where Rincon Valley's buildings actually sit

2,975Total buildings
72.1%Direct exposure
27.9%Indirect exposure
0%Minimal exposure

2,975 buildings are counted in Rincon Valley, and 72.1% of them sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone — flame contact, not just ember cast, is the live possibility for most of them, against 0% rated Minimal.

Where Rincon Valley ranks

Rincon Valley's 88th national percentile looks worse in isolation than its 60th ranking inside Arizona does — this place is on the milder end for its own state, by 28 points. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Rincon Valley ranks 3,832 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 5,477 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 177 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.

Shopping for coverage in Rincon Valley

Rincon Valley's 88th-percentile, very high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.

Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it

Rincon Valley's 72.1% Direct-exposure share means lot clearing around the structure typically outweighs any single material upgrade here. The home-hardening guide ranks the options for a place shaped like this.

Where Rincon Valley's figures come from

The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 2,975 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Rincon Valley. The exposure-zones guide covers what Rincon Valley's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.