Progreso Lakes, TX
How exposed is Progreso Lakes to wildfire?
Progreso Lakes's 190 buildings earn a 45th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — modestly above the national average for wildfire risk. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Progreso Lakes's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 46th percentile nationally.
Where Progreso Lakes's buildings actually sit
USFS classifies 53.7% of Progreso Lakes's buildings as Minimal exposure, the largest of the three zones here by a wide margin over 46.3% Direct and 0% Indirect — a landscape-level risk rather than a building-by-building one.
Where Progreso Lakes ranks
Progreso Lakes ranks lower within Texas (5th percentile statewide) than its 45th national percentile suggests alone — a calmer spot in a state where wildfire risk generally runs high. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Progreso Lakes ranks 17,251 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 25,261 by building count (1 is largest). Within Texas alone, it ranks 1,711 of 1,795 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Texas on its state page.
Progreso Lakes and the insurance market
Progreso Lakes's elevated rating (45th percentile nationally) sits outside the range where wildfire risk alone reshapes an insurance market — still, a homeowner here loses nothing by comparing rates.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Progreso Lakes's 53.7% Minimal-exposure share means structure-level hardening matters less here than it would elsewhere — still worth the low-cost basics, per the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 190 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Progreso Lakes. For more on what minimal exposure implies beyond Progreso Lakes, see the exposure-zones guide.