Prairie Creek, AR
How exposed is Prairie Creek to wildfire?
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Prairie Creek at the 67th national percentile for risk to structures, well above the national norm for wildfire risk — a score built from 1,063 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Separately from the risk score above, Prairie Creek's burn probability — fire likelihood with no building count factored in — sits at the 68th percentile nationally.
Where Prairie Creek's buildings actually sit
1,063 buildings are counted in Prairie Creek, and 93% of them sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone — flame contact, not just ember cast, is the live possibility for most of them, against 1.2% rated Minimal.
Prairie Creek against the rest of the country
Prairie Creek's 67th national percentile looks worse in isolation than its 51st ranking inside Arkansas does — this place is on the milder end for its own state, by 16 points. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Prairie Creek ranks 10,546 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 11,501 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arkansas alone, it ranks 305 of 614 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arkansas on its state page.
Prairie Creek and the insurance market
Prairie Creek's high rating (67th percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
Hardening a home in Prairie Creek
Prairie Creek's 93% Direct-exposure share means lot clearing around the structure typically outweighs any single material upgrade here. The home-hardening guide ranks the options for a place shaped like this.
Where Prairie Creek's figures come from
Every one of the two percentiles behind Prairie Creek's 10,546-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Prairie Creek's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.