Point Lay, AK
Point Lay, AK's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Point Lay sits at the 25th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 119 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Point Lay at the 28th national percentile — 3 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Where Point Lay's buildings actually sit
USFS classifies 83.2% of Point Lay's buildings as Direct exposure, higher than its 16.8% Indirect share and far above its 0% Minimal share — a profile where 99 structures sit close enough to vegetation that lot clearing matters most.
Where Point Lay ranks
There's little gap between Point Lay's 25th national percentile and its 23rd percentile inside Alaska, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Point Lay ranks 23,720 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 28,177 by building count (1 is largest). Within Alaska alone, it ranks 249 of 322 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Alaska on its state page.
Point Lay and the insurance market
Point Lay's moderate rating (25th percentile nationally) sits outside the range where wildfire risk alone reshapes an insurance market — still, a homeowner here loses nothing by comparing rates.
Hardening a home in Point Lay
Because Direct exposure dominates in Point Lay (83.2%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Every one of the two percentiles behind Point Lay's 23,720-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Point Lay, see the exposure-zones guide.