Pavillion, WY
Pavillion, WY's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Out of every US place USFS scores, Pavillion lands at the 71st percentile for wildfire risk to structures — well above the national norm for wildfire risk — a figure built from its 162 buildings, not the land around them. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Pavillion at the 69th national percentile — 2 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Pavillion's building exposure, zone by zone
Most of Pavillion's buildings (87%) sit in the Indirect zone, where wind-blown embers rather than flame front are the mechanism USFS is scoring — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing are the interventions this pattern favors, more than defensible space alone.
Pavillion against the rest of the country
Inside Wyoming, Pavillion sits at just the 31st percentile even though it scores 71st nationally — the state's overall wildfire exposure is high enough to make this a relatively quiet corner of it. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Pavillion ranks 9,252 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 26,363 by building count (1 is largest). Within Wyoming alone, it ranks 133 of 192 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Wyoming on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
Pavillion's 71st-percentile, high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
What would actually reduce this score
With ember exposure the dominant pattern in Pavillion (87% Indirect), vent screens and roofing material tend to matter more than lot clearing alone. The home-hardening guide covers both.
Where Pavillion's figures come from
Pavillion's 71st-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Pavillion's dominant indirect exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.