Patrick Springs, VA
Patrick Springs wildfire risk explained
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Patrick Springs at the 48th national percentile for risk to structures, modestly above the national average for wildfire risk — a score built from 1,551 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Patrick Springs at the 49th national percentile — 1 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
98.3% of Patrick Springs's 1,551 buildings sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone, roughly 1,524 structures close enough to burnable vegetation for flame contact, not just embers — 1.7% fall in the Indirect, ember-only zone and 0% are Minimal.
Where Patrick Springs ranks
There's little gap between Patrick Springs's 48th national percentile and its 49th percentile inside Virginia, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Patrick Springs ranks 16,501 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 8,954 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 351 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Patrick Springs
At the 48th national percentile, Patrick Springs rates elevated for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Because Direct exposure dominates in Patrick Springs (98.3%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
Where Patrick Springs's figures come from
Every one of the two percentiles behind Patrick Springs's 16,501-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Patrick Springs's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.