Pagedale, MO
How exposed is Pagedale to wildfire?
Pagedale's 1,741 buildings earn a 44th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — modestly above the national average for wildfire risk. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Pagedale at the 48th national percentile — 4 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Only 0.5% of Pagedale's 1,741 buildings carry Direct exposure and 0% carry Indirect; the remaining 99.5% are Minimal, which shifts the risk driving this page's score toward the surrounding landscape rather than any one structure.
Where Pagedale ranks
Pagedale's 44th national percentile looks worse in isolation than its 23rd ranking inside Missouri does — this place is on the milder end for its own state, by 22 points. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Pagedale ranks 17,552 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 8,261 by building count (1 is largest). Within Missouri alone, it ranks 823 of 1,062 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Missouri on its state page.
Pagedale and the insurance market
Pagedale's elevated rating (44th percentile nationally) sits outside the range where wildfire risk alone reshapes an insurance market — still, a homeowner here loses nothing by comparing rates.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
With 99.5% of buildings rated Minimal exposure, Pagedale gets less benefit from structure hardening than a Direct- or Indirect-dominant place would — the home-hardening guide explains why the zone matters.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 1,741 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Pagedale. For more on what minimal exposure implies beyond Pagedale, see the exposure-zones guide.