Page, AZ
Page wildfire risk explained
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Page at the 26th national percentile for risk to structures, close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — a score built from 3,652 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Page at the 22nd national percentile — 4 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Where Page's buildings actually sit
USFS puts 69.6% of Page's 3,652 buildings in the Indirect exposure zone, versus 18.4% Direct and 12% Minimal — a place where the fire doesn't need to reach the structure directly for embers to.
How Page compares
Page ranks lower within Arizona (6th percentile statewide) than its 26th national percentile suggests alone — a calmer spot in a state where wildfire risk generally runs high. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Page ranks 23,342 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 4,580 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 416 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
At the 26th national percentile, Page rates moderate for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
With ember exposure the dominant pattern in Page (69.6% Indirect), vent screens and roofing material tend to matter more than lot clearing alone. The home-hardening guide covers both.
Where Page's figures come from
Every one of the two percentiles behind Page's 23,342-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Page's dominant indirect exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.