Old Forge, NY
Old Forge, NY's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS scores Old Forge at the 6th national percentile for wildfire risk to structures (among the lower wildfire-risk places nationally), a figure built from 1,030 real buildings rather than raw vegetation cover. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Old Forge at the 6th national percentile — 0 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
61.2% of Old Forge's 1,030 buildings sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone, roughly 630 structures close enough to burnable vegetation for flame contact, not just embers — 38.7% fall in the Indirect, ember-only zone and 0.1% are Minimal.
Where Old Forge ranks
Old Forge's risk sits at a similar level relative to New York (9th percentile statewide) as it does nationally (6th) — this place isn't unusual for its own state either way. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Old Forge ranks 29,731 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 11,724 by building count (1 is largest). Within New York alone, it ranks 1,183 of 1,289 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for New York on its state page.
Old Forge and the insurance market
At the 6th national percentile, Old Forge rates low for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
What would actually reduce this score
Old Forge's 61.2% Direct-exposure share means lot clearing around the structure typically outweighs any single material upgrade here. The home-hardening guide ranks the options for a place shaped like this.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 1,030 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Old Forge. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Old Forge, see the exposure-zones guide.