Novinger, MO
Novinger, MO's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
Novinger's 370 buildings earn a 65th-percentile wildfire-risk score nationally under USFS's model — well above the national norm for wildfire risk. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Novinger at the 68th national percentile — 3 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
Where Novinger's buildings actually sit
84.6% of Novinger's 370 buildings fall in USFS's Indirect exposure zone — ember cast rather than direct flame — against 15.4% Direct and 0% Minimal. Vent screens and roofing material matter more here than lot clearing alone.
Novinger against the rest of the country
Novinger's risk sits at a similar level relative to Missouri (69th percentile statewide) as it does nationally (65th) — this place isn't unusual for its own state either way. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Novinger ranks 11,024 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 19,857 by building count (1 is largest). Within Missouri alone, it ranks 331 of 1,062 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Missouri on its state page.
Novinger and the insurance market
Novinger's high rating (65th percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
Hardening a home in Novinger
Novinger's 84.6% Indirect-exposure share points at embers, not flame contact, as the main pathway — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing rank ahead of defensible space here. Detail in the home-hardening guide.
Where Novinger's figures come from
Novinger's 65th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Novinger's dominant indirect exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.