New River, AZ
New River wildfire risk explained
USFS scores New River at the 89th national percentile for wildfire risk to structures (in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally), a figure built from 12,763 real buildings rather than raw vegetation cover. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts New River at the 87th percentile, close to its 89th-percentile risk score.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Of New River's 12,763 counted buildings, 92.5% carry Direct exposure and only 0% carry Minimal — a lopsided split that puts defensible-space clearing ahead of vents or roofing as the intervention worth doing first. At 12,763 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
How New River compares
New River's 89th national percentile looks worse in isolation than its 61st ranking inside Arizona does — this place is on the milder end for its own state, by 28 points. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, New River ranks 3,579 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 1,197 by building count (1 is largest). Within Arizona alone, it ranks 172 of 441 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Arizona on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in New River
New River's very high rating (89th percentile) puts it among the places where the national carrier-pullback trend is most relevant — not a guarantee of a coverage problem, but a reason to shop rather than assume.
What would actually reduce this score
New River's 92.5% Direct-exposure share means lot clearing around the structure typically outweighs any single material upgrade here. The home-hardening guide ranks the options for a place shaped like this.
More on how this number was built
Every one of the two percentiles behind New River's 3,579-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond New River, see the exposure-zones guide.