New Hope, VA
New Hope, VA's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts New Hope at the 56th national percentile for risk to structures, modestly above the national average for wildfire risk — a score built from 649 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks New Hope at the 58th national percentile — 2 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Of New Hope's 649 counted buildings, 88% carry Direct exposure and only 0% carry Minimal — a lopsided split that puts defensible-space clearing ahead of vents or roofing as the intervention worth doing first.
How New Hope compares
New Hope's risk sits at a similar level relative to Virginia (61st percentile statewide) as it does nationally (56th) — this place isn't unusual for its own state either way. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, New Hope ranks 13,947 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 15,215 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 265 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in New Hope
New Hope's elevated rating (56th percentile nationally) sits outside the range where wildfire risk alone reshapes an insurance market — still, a homeowner here loses nothing by comparing rates.
What would actually reduce this score
New Hope's 88% Direct-exposure share means lot clearing around the structure typically outweighs any single material upgrade here. The home-hardening guide ranks the options for a place shaped like this.
Where New Hope's figures come from
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 649 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for New Hope. The exposure-zones guide covers what New Hope's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.