New Haven, CT
New Haven, CT's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS scores New Haven at the 30th national percentile for wildfire risk to structures (close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range), a figure built from 26,942 real buildings rather than raw vegetation cover. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks New Haven at the 29th national percentile — 1 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
New Haven rates 69.9% Minimal exposure against just 4.7% Direct and 25.5% Indirect — of 26,942 buildings counted, few sit close enough to burnable vegetation for USFS to flag them individually. At 26,942 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
Where New Haven ranks
Compare New Haven's two percentiles: 46th within Connecticut, only 30th nationally — a gap of 15 points that marks it as unusually exposed for its own state. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, New Haven ranks 21,924 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 456 by building count (1 is largest). Within Connecticut alone, it ranks 117 of 214 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Connecticut on its state page.
New Haven and the insurance market
At the 30th national percentile, New Haven rates moderate for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
Hardening a home in New Haven
With 69.9% of buildings rated Minimal exposure, New Haven gets less benefit from structure hardening than a Direct- or Indirect-dominant place would — the home-hardening guide explains why the zone matters.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 26,942 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for New Haven. For more on what minimal exposure implies beyond New Haven, see the exposure-zones guide.