New Deal, TN
New Deal wildfire risk explained
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts New Deal at the 25th national percentile for risk to structures, close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — a score built from 348 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts New Deal at the 27th percentile, close to its 25th-percentile risk score.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
348 buildings are counted in New Deal, and 96.6% of them sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone — flame contact, not just ember cast, is the live possibility for most of them, against 0% rated Minimal.
How New Deal compares
Inside Tennessee, New Deal sits at just the 9th percentile even though it scores 25th nationally — the state's overall wildfire exposure is high enough to make this a relatively quiet corner of it. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, New Deal ranks 23,713 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 20,378 by building count (1 is largest). Within Tennessee alone, it ranks 455 of 502 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Tennessee on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in New Deal
New Deal's moderate wildfire rating (25th percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
What would actually reduce this score
New Deal's 96.6% Direct-exposure share means lot clearing around the structure typically outweighs any single material upgrade here. The home-hardening guide ranks the options for a place shaped like this.
Where New Deal's figures come from
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 348 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for New Deal. The exposure-zones guide covers what New Deal's dominant direct exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.