New Canton, IL
New Canton, IL's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
New Canton sits at the 35th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 266 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks New Canton at the 37th national percentile — 2 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
USFS puts 94% of New Canton's 266 buildings in the Indirect exposure zone, versus 6% Direct and 0% Minimal — a place where the fire doesn't need to reach the structure directly for embers to.
Where New Canton ranks
Within Illinois, New Canton ranks higher (87th percentile) than it does nationally (35th) — one of the more fire-exposed places in a state that, overall, scores lower than that. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, New Canton ranks 20,443 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 22,627 by building count (1 is largest). Within Illinois alone, it ranks 189 of 1,445 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Illinois on its state page.
New Canton and the insurance market
New Canton's moderate wildfire rating (35th percentile) isn't the kind of score driving the carrier pullback making news in the highest-risk Western markets — but a standard homeowners quote is still worth comparing on its own terms.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
New Canton's 94% Indirect-exposure share points at embers, not flame contact, as the main pathway — ember-resistant vents and non-combustible roofing rank ahead of defensible space here. Detail in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 266 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for New Canton. For more on what indirect exposure implies beyond New Canton, see the exposure-zones guide.