Nesconset, NY
Nesconset, NY's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Nesconset at the 27th national percentile for risk to structures, close to the middle of USFS's national wildfire-risk range — a score built from 4,383 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Nesconset at the 28th percentile, close to its 27th-percentile risk score.
Nesconset's building exposure, zone by zone
USFS classifies 72% of Nesconset's buildings as Minimal exposure, the largest of the three zones here by a wide margin over 26.5% Direct and 1.5% Indirect — a landscape-level risk rather than a building-by-building one.
Nesconset against the rest of the country
Compare Nesconset's two percentiles: 57th within New York, only 27th nationally — a gap of 30 points that marks it as unusually exposed for its own state. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Nesconset ranks 22,921 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 3,892 by building count (1 is largest). Within New York alone, it ranks 556 of 1,289 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for New York on its state page.
Nesconset and the insurance market
Nesconset's moderate rating (27th percentile nationally) sits outside the range where wildfire risk alone reshapes an insurance market — still, a homeowner here loses nothing by comparing rates.
What would actually reduce this score
Nesconset's 72% Minimal-exposure share means structure-level hardening matters less here than it would elsewhere — still worth the low-cost basics, per the home-hardening guide.
Where Nesconset's figures come from
Nesconset's 27th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Nesconset's dominant minimal exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.