WildfireRiskFinder

Minot, ND

Minot wildfire risk explained

Elevated
44thpercentile nationally

USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Minot at the 44th national percentile for risk to structures, modestly above the national average for wildfire risk — a score built from 18,885 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)

USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Minot at the 43rd percentile, close to its 44th-percentile risk score.

Minot's building exposure, zone by zone

18,885Total buildings
4.3%Direct exposure
44.5%Indirect exposure
51.2%Minimal exposure

Most of Minot's buildings (51.2% of 18,885) fall outside USFS's Direct and Indirect zones entirely — that doesn't zero out the score above, it means the risk is regional, not structure-by-structure. At 18,885 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.

How Minot compares

There's little gap between Minot's 44th national percentile and its 34th percentile inside North Dakota, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Minot ranks 17,720 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 751 by building count (1 is largest). Within North Dakota alone, it ranks 265 of 402 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for North Dakota on its state page.

Shopping for coverage in Minot

At the 44th national percentile, Minot rates elevated for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.

Hardening a home in Minot

Even with 51.2% of Minot outside USFS's Direct and Indirect zones, basic hardening — gutter maintenance, ember-resistant vents — is inexpensive relative to the regional burn-probability risk noted above. Details in the home-hardening guide.

More on how this number was built

Minot's 44th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what minimal exposure implies beyond Minot, see the exposure-zones guide.