Medford, OR
Medford, OR's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Medford at the 88th national percentile for risk to structures, in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally — a score built from 32,203 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Medford at the 90th national percentile — 2 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Medford rates 64.3% Minimal exposure against just 9.2% Direct and 26.5% Indirect — of 32,203 buildings counted, few sit close enough to burnable vegetation for USFS to flag them individually. At 32,203 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
Medford against the rest of the country
Inside Oregon, Medford sits at just the 70th percentile even though it scores 88th nationally — the state's overall wildfire exposure is high enough to make this a relatively quiet corner of it. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Medford ranks 3,886 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 342 by building count (1 is largest). Within Oregon alone, it ranks 128 of 420 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Oregon on its state page.
Medford and the insurance market
Medford sits in Oregon, one of two states that legally require a wildfire-risk disclosure at sale. Sellers here disclose wildfire-hazard status before closing, the same number this page reports at the 88th national percentile. More on the disclosure law.
What would actually reduce this score
With 64.3% of buildings rated Minimal exposure, Medford gets less benefit from structure hardening than a Direct- or Indirect-dominant place would — the home-hardening guide explains why the zone matters.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 32,203 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Medford. For more on what minimal exposure implies beyond Medford, see the exposure-zones guide.