Mappsburg, VA
How exposed is Mappsburg to wildfire?
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Mappsburg at the 57th national percentile for risk to structures, modestly above the national average for wildfire risk — a score built from 60 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Mappsburg at the 54th percentile, close to its 57th-percentile risk score.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
60 buildings are counted in Mappsburg, and 63.3% of them sit in USFS's Direct exposure zone — flame contact, not just ember cast, is the live possibility for most of them, against 3.3% rated Minimal.
How Mappsburg compares
Mappsburg scores 57th nationally and 64th within Virginia — close enough that its state context doesn't change the picture the national number already gives. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Mappsburg ranks 13,443 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 30,669 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 249 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.
Mappsburg and the insurance market
Mappsburg's elevated rating (57th percentile nationally) sits outside the range where wildfire risk alone reshapes an insurance market — still, a homeowner here loses nothing by comparing rates.
What would actually reduce this score
Because Direct exposure dominates in Mappsburg (63.3%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 60 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Mappsburg. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Mappsburg, see the exposure-zones guide.