Maple Grove, MN
Maple Grove, MN's wildfire risk, in USFS's own numbers
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Maple Grove at the 44th national percentile for risk to structures, modestly above the national average for wildfire risk — a score built from 22,903 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Maple Grove at the 42nd national percentile — 2 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
Only 12.2% of Maple Grove's 22,903 buildings carry Direct exposure and 18.9% carry Indirect; the remaining 68.8% are Minimal, which shifts the risk driving this page's score toward the surrounding landscape rather than any one structure. At 22,903 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
Maple Grove against the rest of the country
Compare Maple Grove's two percentiles: 62nd within Minnesota, only 44th nationally — a gap of 19 points that marks it as unusually exposed for its own state. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Maple Grove ranks 17,741 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 578 by building count (1 is largest). Within Minnesota alone, it ranks 348 of 914 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Minnesota on its state page.
Maple Grove and the insurance market
At the 44th national percentile, Maple Grove rates elevated for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
Lowering exposure, not just insuring around it
Maple Grove's 68.8% Minimal-exposure share means structure-level hardening matters less here than it would elsewhere — still worth the low-cost basics, per the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Maple Grove's 44th-percentile score and its burn-probability figure both come from the same USFS workbook, documented in the methodology guide. For more on what minimal exposure implies beyond Maple Grove, see the exposure-zones guide.