Mantua, VA
Mantua wildfire risk explained
USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model puts Mantua at the 18th national percentile for risk to structures, among the lower wildfire-risk places nationally — a score built from 1,949 actual buildings. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Mantua at the 18th national percentile — 1 points above its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
USFS classifies 77.6% of Mantua's buildings as Direct exposure, higher than its 0% Indirect share and far above its 22.4% Minimal share — a profile where 1,513 structures sit close enough to vegetation that lot clearing matters most.
How Mantua compares
There's little gap between Mantua's 18th national percentile and its 8th percentile inside Virginia, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Mantua ranks 25,986 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 7,619 by building count (1 is largest). Within Virginia alone, it ranks 627 of 681 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Virginia on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
At the 18th national percentile, Mantua rates low for wildfire risk — well short of the threshold where insurers have been withdrawing coverage, though comparing a quote costs nothing either way.
Hardening a home in Mantua
Because Direct exposure dominates in Mantua (77.6%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
Every one of the two percentiles behind Mantua's 25,986-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Mantua, see the exposure-zones guide.