Mantua, UT
Mantua wildfire risk explained
Mantua sits at the 96th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — in USFS's highest wildfire-risk band nationally — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 597 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
Fire likelihood alone (USFS's burn-probability figure) ranks Mantua at the 94th national percentile — 2 points below its risk-to-structures score, a gap driven by how much is actually built there.
What "at risk" means for the buildings here
USFS classifies 53.6% of Mantua's buildings as Direct exposure, higher than its 46.4% Indirect share and far above its 0% Minimal share — a profile where 320 structures sit close enough to vegetation that lot clearing matters most.
Where Mantua ranks
There's little gap between Mantua's 96th national percentile and its 86th percentile inside Utah, which means the state comparison mostly confirms what the national score already shows. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Mantua ranks 1,146 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 15,889 by building count (1 is largest). Within Utah alone, it ranks 46 of 326 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for Utah on its state page.
What this risk score means for insurance
Mantua's 96th-percentile, very high rating is the kind of score behind a broader national pattern: insurers pulling back from the highest wildfire-risk markets, non-renewing or declining new policies outright, most visibly in California. Shopping around, not assuming automatic renewal, tends to matter here.
What would actually reduce this score
Because Direct exposure dominates in Mantua (53.6%), the highest-leverage fix is defensible space, not roofing or vents alone — covered in the home-hardening guide.
More on how this number was built
The methodology guide shows exactly how USFS turned 597 counted buildings into the percentiles shown above for Mantua. For more on what direct exposure implies beyond Mantua, see the exposure-zones guide.