Manteca, CA
Manteca wildfire risk explained
Manteca sits at the 79th percentile nationally for wildfire risk to structures — well above the national norm for wildfire risk — per USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities model, built from its 26,790 counted buildings, not vegetation cover alone. (Source: USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities methodology.)
USFS's separate burn-probability score — fire likelihood alone, before counting what's built there — puts Manteca at the 79th percentile, close to its 79th-percentile risk score.
Where Manteca's buildings actually sit
Most of Manteca's buildings (89.6% of 26,790) fall outside USFS's Direct and Indirect zones entirely — that doesn't zero out the score above, it means the risk is regional, not structure-by-structure. At 26,790 buildings, this is a substantial built environment, so the shares below describe a real population of structures, not a handful of edge cases.
Where Manteca ranks
Manteca ranks lower within California (39th percentile statewide) than its 79th national percentile suggests alone — a calmer spot in a state where wildfire risk generally runs high. Among the 31,521 US communities USFS scores, Manteca ranks 6,647 for wildfire risk (1 is highest) and 462 by building count (1 is largest). Within California alone, it ranks 967 of 1,570 places by risk. See the full county-by-county picture for California on its state page.
Shopping for coverage in Manteca
Manteca's 79th-percentile score lands in California, the only two states requiring a wildfire disclosure at sale. California's surplus-lines homeowners market passed 300,000 policies for the first time in 2025, driven by carriers pulling back from wildfire-exposed areas statewide. The disclosure-law guide covers what it requires.
Hardening a home in Manteca
Manteca's 89.6% Minimal-exposure share means structure-level hardening matters less here than it would elsewhere — still worth the low-cost basics, per the home-hardening guide.
Where Manteca's figures come from
Every one of the two percentiles behind Manteca's 6,647-place national rank traces to USFS's Wildfire Risk to Communities dataset — see the methodology guide. The exposure-zones guide covers what Manteca's dominant minimal exposure actually means, with real examples from across the dataset.